Title
Extending the Macroeconomic Impacts Forecasting Capabilities of the National Energy Modeling System
Document Type
Working Paper
Publication Date
10-7-2020
College/Unit
Regional Research Institute
Document Number
2020-05
Department/Program/Center
Regional Research Institute
Abstract
To comprehensively model the macroeconomic impacts that result from changes in long-term energy-economy forecasts, the United States Department of Energy’s National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) partnered with West Virginia University’s (WVU) Regional Research Institute to develop the NETL/WVU econometric input-output (ECIO) model. The NETL/WVU ECIO model is an impacts forecasting model that functions as an extension of the U.S. energy-economic models available from the United States (U.S.) Energy Information Administration’s National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Market Allocation (MARKAL) model. The ECIO model integrates a macroeconomic econometric forecasting model and an input-output accounting framework along derived forecast scenarios detailing a baseline of the U.S. energy-economy and an alternative forecast on how power generation resources can meet future levels of energy demand to generate estimates of the impacts to gross domestic product, employment, and labor income. This manuscript provides an overview of the model design, assumptions, and standard outputs.
Digital Commons Citation
Court, Christa D.; Jackson, Randall W.; Adder, Justin; Pickenpaugh, Gavin; Zelek, Charles; and Harker Steele, Amanda J., "Extending the Macroeconomic Impacts Forecasting Capabilities of the National Energy Modeling System" (2020). Regional Research Institute Working Papers. 217.
https://researchrepository.wvu.edu/rri_pubs/217